Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.369078 0.426164 0.488256 0.560689 0.642745 0.732690 0.838623
2025-10-05 0.277932 0.357379 0.452286 0.573437 0.723344 0.902068 1.130541
2025-10-12 0.233698 0.325284 0.442432 0.601973 0.812094 1.077697 1.436904
2025-10-19 0.199204 0.296312 0.427793 0.616636 0.878276 1.224913 1.715179
2025-10-26 0.171002 0.269849 0.410584 0.622352 0.928924 1.351803 1.973144
2025-11-02 0.147174 0.245236 0.391423 0.620880 0.966431 1.460523 2.211411
2025-11-09 0.126283 0.221532 0.369798 0.611857 0.989933 1.548662 2.424310
2025-11-16 0.109227 0.201186 0.350282 0.602826 1.010872 1.632514 2.634629
2025-11-23 0.092985 0.179688 0.325978 0.582793 1.011519 1.683983 2.797555
2025-11-30 0.088233 0.177457 0.333061 0.614389 1.096761 1.871526 3.182725
2025-12-07 0.076547 0.160916 0.313501 0.598403 1.101316 1.930054 3.365843
2025-12-14 0.066370 0.145719 0.294423 0.580907 1.101008 1.979440 3.535791
2025-12-21 0.057868 0.132771 0.278268 0.567503 1.107477 2.041988 3.734657
2025-12-28 0.053604 0.127923 0.276961 0.581562 1.164360 2.194724 4.097234
2026-01-04 0.051369 0.127050 0.283256 0.610559 1.250706 2.404159 4.570589
2026-01-11 0.047900 0.122933 0.282474 0.625419 1.311368 2.571438 4.979370
2026-01-18 0.043960 0.117147 0.277511 0.631209 1.354740 2.709692 5.343805
2026-01-25 0.039852 0.110323 0.269488 0.629718 1.383317 2.821842 5.666408
2026-02-01 0.035626 0.102544 0.258427 0.620578 1.395523 2.903500 5.936614
2026-02-08 0.031885 0.095393 0.247904 0.611431 1.406678 2.983343 6.207358
2026-02-15 0.027868 0.086846 0.233086 0.591137 1.392594 3.012612 6.382160
2026-02-22 0.027362 0.087767 0.240957 0.623143 1.492436 3.273379 7.021632
2026-03-01 0.024214 0.080769 0.228628 0.606951 1.486115 3.319906 7.240487